Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.191613 1.445912 1.770656 2.228611 2.880713 3.816374 5.347811
2026-01-18 0.840217 1.110928 1.507414 2.172554 3.365969 5.707191 11.845059
2026-01-25 0.679546 0.949814 1.383994 2.211695 4.010227 8.810420 32.458979
2026-02-01 0.587767 0.856930 1.321819 2.308267 4.868502 14.481118 160.819704
2026-02-08 0.511289 0.767047 1.231555 2.297541 5.486115 22.099248 4840.666863
2026-02-15 0.448320 0.686144 1.133781 2.222233 5.865216 31.718661 NaN
2026-02-22 0.413677 0.648309 1.109366 2.314589 7.006352 63.029345 NaN
2026-03-01 0.379219 0.604558 1.061540 2.323581 7.883596 125.595124 NaN
2026-03-08 0.345836 0.557765 0.996943 2.257609 8.349054 238.986749 NaN
2026-03-15 0.320229 0.522564 0.951223 2.232405 9.086404 677.166664 NaN
2026-03-22 0.310115 0.516434 0.970758 2.431436 11.973648 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.296495 0.501221 0.965306 2.544534 14.799886 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.278711 0.475720 0.930790 2.539014 16.672686 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.259996 0.446391 0.881943 2.457946 17.494774 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.247880 0.429949 0.864048 2.502124 20.768261 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.239206 0.419992 0.861652 2.617275 26.858744 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.227490 0.402098 0.834438 2.604300 30.510066 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.214763 0.380839 0.794764 2.514083 31.569898 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.208498 0.373593 0.793864 2.624728 42.233770 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.200239 0.361036 0.775619 2.635521 50.338116 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.190607 0.344564 0.743640 2.556417 52.777311 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.182827 0.331850 0.721401 2.526246 59.423993 NaN NaN
2026-06-14 0.181079 0.333092 0.741638 2.765252 109.528984 NaN NaN